@article{Simpson_C-2021_37651,
title = {Temporal trends and forecasting of COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in Scotland using a national real-time patient-level data platform: a statistical modelling study},
author = {Simpson, C. and Robertson, C. and Vasileiou, E. and Moore, E. and McCowan, C. and Agrawal, U. and Stagg, H. and Docherty, A. and Mulholland, R. and Murray, J. and Ritchie, L. and McMenamin, J. and Sheikh, A.},
month = {jul},
year = {2021},
abstract = {BackgroundAs the COVID-19 pandemic continues, national-level surveillance platforms with real-time individual person-level data are required to monitor and predict the epidemiological and clinical profile of COVID-19 and informpublic health policy. We aimed to create a national dataset of patient-level data in Scotland to identify temporal trends and COVID-19 risk factors, and to develop a novel statistical prediction model to forecast COVID-19-related deaths and hospitalisations during the second wave.},
pages = {e517-e525},
volume = {3},
issue = {8},
journal = {The Lancet Digital Health},
publisher = {Elsevier},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00105-9},
}
