TY - JOUR AU - Simpson, Colin R. AU - Robertson, Chris AU - Vasileiou, Eleftheria AU - Moore, Emily AU - McCowan, Colin AU - Agrawal, Utkarsh AU - Stagg, Helen R. AU - Docherty, Annemarie B. AU - Mulholland, Rachel H. AU - Murray, Josephine-Louise K. AU - Ritchie, Lewis D. AU - Jim McMenamin AU - Sheikh, Aziz PY - 2021 DA - July TI - Temporal trends and forecasting of COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in Scotland using a national real-time patient-level data platform: a statistical modelling study JO - The Lancet Digital Health EP - e525 VL - 3 IS - 8 DO - https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00105-9 AB - BackgroundAs the COVID-19 pandemic continues, national-level surveillance platforms with real-time individual person-level data are required to monitor and predict the epidemiological and clinical profile of COVID-19 and informpublic health policy. We aimed to create a national dataset of patient-level data in Scotland to identify temporal trends and COVID-19 risk factors, and to develop a novel statistical prediction model to forecast COVID-19-related deaths and hospitalisations during the second wave. PB - Elsevier UR - https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/78140/ KW - Coronavirus (COVID-19) KW - Hospital care ER