TY - JOUR
AU - Russell, Timothy W.
AU - Golding, Nick
AU - Hellewell, Joel
AU - Abbott, Sam
AU - Wright, Lawrence
AU - Pearson, Carl A.B.
AU - van Zandvoort, Kevin
AU - Jarvis, Christopher I.
AU - Gibbs, Hamish P.
AU - Liu, Yang
AU - Eggo, Rosalind M.
AU - Edmunds, W. John
AU - CMMID COVID-19 Working Group
PY - 2020
DA - October
TI - Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections
JO - BMC Medicine
VL - 18
IS - 1
DO - https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-020-01790-9
AB - Background: Asymptomatic or subclinical SARS-CoV-2 infections are often unreported, which means that confirmed case counts may not accurately reflect underlying epidemic dynamics. Understanding the level of ascertainment (the ratio of confirmed symptomatic cases to the true number of symptomatic individuals) and undetected epidemic progression is crucial to informing COVID-19 response planning, including the introduction and relaxation of control measures. Estimating case ascertainment over time allows for accurate estimates of specific outcomes such as seroprevalence, which is essential for planning control measures.
PB - Springer Nature
UR - https://www.research.ed.ac.uk/en/publications/8e92ccbd-2318-44a2-84ca-4d2700fc4204
KW - Coronavirus (COVID-19)
ER