Evaluation of predictive capability of Bayesian spatio-temporal models for Covid-19 spread

Abstract

Bayesian models have been applied throughout the Covid-19 pandemic especially to model time series of case counts or deaths. Fewer examples exist of spatio-temporal modeling, even though the spatial spread of disease is a crucial factor in public health monitoring. The predictive capabilities of infectious disease models is also important.

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DOI

https://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-023-01997-3

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https://www.research.ed.ac.uk/en/publications/59af7112-761a-410c-a8f8-63ff6fb99820