About this release
This is a weekly release by Public Health Scotland (PHS) on epidemiological information on seasonal respiratory infection activity in Scotland including COVID-19.
Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, health care services have functioned differently now compared to previous winter respiratory seasons, so the consultation rates are not directly comparable to historical data.
Overall assessment for week 04 (week ending 29 January 2023):
- The proportion of NHS24 calls that were for respiratory symptoms in week 04 remained at Baseline activity level
- Influenza decreased to Low activity level (2.9 per 100,000 population). There were 158 influenza cases: 115 type A (not subtyped), 23 A(H3), nine A(H1N1)pdm09 and 11 type B, this compares to 287 laboratory-confirmed cases reported during week 03
- Adenovirus, HMPV, Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) and rhinovirus remained at Low activity level. Seasonal coronavirus (non-SARS-CoV-2) decreased from Moderate to Low activity level
- In the Community Acute Respiratory Infection (CARI) sentinel surveillance programme, rhinovirus was the most commonly detected pathogen in week 04, with a swab positivity of 19.2%, and influenza (A and B) swab positivity reduced from 8.6% percent in week 03 to 2.4% in week 04
- The overall number of emergency hospital admissions associated with RSV, influenza and COVID-19 has decreased since a plateau during weeks’ 51 and 52. The largest proportion of admissions in week 03 2023 (56%) was for COVID-19
- In Scotland, in the week ending 17 January 2023, the estimated number of people testing positive for COVID-19 was 92,400 (95% credible interval: 77,200 to 109,100), equating to 1.76% of the population, or around 1 in 55 people (Source: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey, UK - Office for National Statistics)
- There were on average 734 patients in hospital with COVID-19, a 17.6% decrease from the previous week ending 22 January 2023 (891)
- As part of the Winter 2022 vaccination programme 1,983,634 people have been vaccinated for COVID-19 and 1,930,779 adults have been vaccinated for influenza. 90.1% were vaccinated for influenza and COVID-19 at the same vaccination appointment
Surveillance of respiratory disease pathogens is a key public health activity as infection is associated with appreciable levels of morbidity and mortality, especially during the winter months and particularly among those at risk of complications, including the elderly, children under two years of age, those with chronic health problems, and pregnant women.
Respiratory infection can be caused by a number of pathogens and there is no single surveillance system or data source that can describe the onset, severity and impact of SARS-CoV-2, influenza and other respiratory pathogens, or the success of any control measures. In Scotland, respiratory infection levels and their impact are monitored using various sources of data, including microbiological sampling and laboratory test results from community and hospital settings, NHS 24 calls, primary care consultations, and hospital (including intensive care) admissions. The intelligence generated from these different data sources provide a comprehensive picture of current respiratory illness in Scotland.
Seasonality patterns / Seasonal Variations
Many respiratory illnesses, including influenza, are typically associated with a seasonal increase in the autumn and winter. These seasonal patterns have been established based on many years of surveillance data. However, in some cases, circulation of these pathogens have deviated from their usual seasonal trends due to changes in social mixing patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic.
As yet, SARS-CoV-2 has not been shown to follow the same seasonal patterns as other respiratory pathogens. Increases in infections outside the winter season may be occurring for a variety of reasons, including the emergence of new variants or the temporary nature of individual-level immunity from vaccine or prior infection.
The next release of this publication will be 9 February 2023.
Find out more
Versions of the Weekly national respiratory report publication released before 30 November 2022 may be found on the Public Health Scotland website
Versions of the COVID-19 weekly statistical report publication released before 30 November 2022 may be found on the Public Health Scotland website
Open data from this publication is available from the following weblinks:
- COVID-19 Open Data platform
- Respiratory Open Data platform
- Flu and COVID Vaccination Uptake Open Data platform
- 11 September 2023 SARS-CoV-2 BA.2.86 variant in Scotland - weekly update
- The Flu and COVID vaccination uptake in Scotland dashboard was updated on 6 July 2023 with the most recent information.
- The COVID-19 in Adult Care Homes in Scotland datafile was updated on 27 July 2023 to include more recent information.
- Ethnicity Data: The COVID-19 & Respiratory Surveillance in Scotland interactive dashboard was updated on 31 August 2023 to include more recent information relating to ethnicity of COVID-19 hospital admissions.
- 28 September 2022 COVID-19 statistical report publication contains information on COVID-19 infection and vaccination in pregnancy in Scotland.
- 2 March 2022 COVID-19 statistical report publication contains information on Highest Risk (shielding patients list)
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