- 29 March 2021
- Journal article
Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England
- Nature Communications
In early 2020 many countries closed schools to mitigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Since then, governments have sought to relax the closures, engendering a need to understand associated risks. Using address records, we construct a network of schools in England connected through pupils who share households. We evaluate the risk of transmission between schools under different reopening scenarios. We show that whilst reopening select year-groups causes low risk of large-scale transmission, reopening secondary schools could result in outbreaks affecting up to 2.5 million households if unmitigated, highlighting the importance of careful monitoring and within-school infection control to avoid further school closures or other restrictions.
This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
Munday, J., Sherratt, K., Meakin, S., Endo, A., Pearson, C., Hellewell, J., Abbott, S., Bosse, N., CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, Atkins, K., Wallinga, J., Edmunds, W., van Hoek, A. & Funk, S. 2021, 'Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England', Nature Communications, 12, article no: 1942. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22213-0