Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland

Authors: Abernethy, Gavin M. ;

Glass, David H.

Source: Journal of the Royal Society Interface

Full text

: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0896

Abstract

An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths.

Rights

© 2022 The Authors. Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.

Cite as

Abernethy, G. & Glass, D. 2022, 'Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland', Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 19(188), article no: 20210896. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0896

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Identifiers

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2021.0896

Repository URI: http://hdl.handle.net/1893/36739