To manage the public health risk posed by COVID-19 and assess the impact of interventions, policy makers must be able to closely monitor the epidemic’s trajectory. Here we present a simple methodology based on basic surveillance metrics for monitoring the spread of COVID-19 and its burden on health services in Scotland. We illustrate how this has been used throughout the epidemic in Scotland and explore the underlying biases that have affected its interpretation.
Calder-Gerver, G., Mazeri, S., Haynes, S., Simonet, C., Woolhouse, M. & Brown, H. 2020, 'Real-Time Monitoring of COVID-19 in Scotland'. To be published in MedRxiv [Preprint]. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.30.20158790