To manage the public health risk posed by COVID-19 and assess the impact of interventions, policy makers must be able to closely monitor the epidemic’s trajectory. Here we present a simple methodology based on basic surveillance metrics for monitoring the spread of COVID-19 and its burden on health services in Scotland. We illustrate how this has been used throughout the epidemic in Scotland and explore the underlying biases that have affected its interpretation.

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Calder-Gerver, G., Mazeri, S., Haynes, S., Simonet, C., Woolhouse, M. & Brown, H. 2020, 'Real-Time Monitoring of COVID-19 in Scotland'. To be published in MedRxiv [Preprint]. Available at: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.30.20158790

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Last updated: 15 September 2022
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