Weekly national seasonal respiratory report
Week ending 2 October 2022 – week 39

About this release

This release is a weekly report on epidemiological information on seasonal respiratory infection activity in Scotland. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, health care services are functioning differently now compared to previous flu seasons so the consultation rates are not directly comparable to historical data.

Main points

Overall assessment:

• The proportion of NHS24 calls for respiratory symptoms in week 39 was at Baseline activity level overall. The 5-14, 15-44, 45-64, 65-74 and over 75 age groups remained at Baseline activity level. The under 1 and 1-4 age groups remained at Moderate activity level.
• There were 95 influenza cases: 74 type A (subtype unknown), eight A(H1N1)pdm09, six A(H3) and seven type B. This compares to 72 laboratory-confirmed cases reported during week 38.
• In week 39, influenza was at Low activity level overall. The under 1, 1-4, 5-14, 15-44, 45-64 and 75+ age groups remained at Baseline activity level. The 65-74 age group increased from Baseline to Low activity level.
• In week 39, coronavirus (non-SARS-CoV-2), HMPV, rhinovirus, parainfluenza and Mycoplasma pneumoniae remained at Baseline activity level. Adenovirus and RSV were at Low activity level.
• The number of laboratory-confirmed RSV cases for week 39 was 168. This compares with 160 laboratory-confirmed cases in week 38. RSV cases are greater than what would be expected at this time of the year.
• Two NHS Boards were at Baseline, eight were at Low, three were at Moderate and one was at High activity level (Shetland).
• The under 1, 1-4, 15-44 and 65-74 age groups remained at Low activity level. The 5-14 age group decreased from Moderate to Low activity level. The 45-64 and over 75 age groups increased from Baseline to Low activity level.
• The majority (73.2%) of RSV detections in week 39 were in those aged under 5 years and the majority (81.5%) of diagnoses across all age groups occurred in the hospital setting.
• The hospitalisation rate for influenza was 1.1 per 100,000 in week 39, with the highest hospital admission rate for confirmed influenza noted in patients aged 75 years old and above (3.6 per 100,000). The highest hospitalisation rate for influenza this season was reported in week 11 (1.3 per 100,000).
• The hospitalisation rate for RSV was 1.9 per 100,000 in week 39, with the highest hospital admission rate for confirmed RSV noted in patients aged less than one year old (92.5 per 100,000). The hospitalisation rate for RSV peaked in week 38 and 39 in 2021 (4.5 per 100,000).
• Influenza vaccine data for the 2022/23 winter programme are now available on the PHS flu and COVID winter vaccination dashboard. These data indicate that at the end of week 39 (four weeks since the programme commenced), 490,876 eligible adults are estimated to have received their vaccine. This includes 358,185 adults aged 65 years and over. In addition, 93.9% of those receiving their COVID winter booster and eligible for flu vaccine have received both vaccines at the same appointment.

Background

Surveillance of respiratory infection is a key public health activity as it is associated with significant morbidity and mortality during the winter months, particularly in those at risk of complications of flu e.g. the elderly, those with chronic health problems and pregnant women.

The spectrum of respiratory illnesses vary from asymptomatic illness to mild/moderate symptoms to severe complications including death. There is no single respiratory surveillance component that can describe the onset, severity and impact of influenza or the success of its control measures each season across a community.

This requires a number of complementary surveillance components which are either specific to respiratory infections or their control, or which are derived from data streams providing information of utility for other PHS specialities (corporate surveillance data). Together, the respiratory surveillance components provide a comprehensive and coherent picture on a timely basis throughout the flu season. Please see the influenza page on the HPS website (external website) for more details.

Further information

The next release of this publication will be 12 October 2022.